How accurate is a 10 weather forecast?

The Short Answer: A seven-day forecast can accurately predict the weather about 80 percent of the time and a five-day forecast can accurately predict the weather approximately 90 percent of the time. However, a 10-day—or longer—forecast is only right about half the time .

How accurate is a day weather forecast?

The accuracy of weather predictions tends to decrease as the forecast period extends. The success rate for one-day forecasts is about 96-98% . It drops to about 90% for three-day forecasts. The more days in advance the forecast, the more likely it is that the weather will change.

Who has the most accurate weather predictions?

According to ForecastWatch, the premier organization for evaluating the accuracy of weather forecasts, The Weather Company is more likely to be the most accurate across all geographic regions studied (U.S., Canada, Central America, South America, Europe, Africa, Middle East and Asia-Pacific) and time periods covered.

Is AccuWeather more accurate than weather?

After analyzing the data, it was concluded that AccuWeather produced the most accurate weather forecasts . This partially disproved the hypothesis. The Weather Channel was not as accurate as AccuWeather, but it was more accurate than Dark Sky.

What does 50 chance of rain mean?

1. that 50 percent of the area will get wet. 2. or that it will rain 50 percent of the time. A 50 percent chance of rain means there is a 50 percent chance for any one spot in the forecast area to get wet during the forecast period .

What does 40 chance of rain mean?

Let's look at an example of what the probability does mean. If a forecast for a given county says that there is a 40% chance of rain this afternoon, then there is a 40% chance of rain at any point in the county from noon to 6 p.m. local time .

What does 60 chance of rain mean?

40 to 60% chance, meaning that there's a good chance for a. few showers and storms . that could really start to impact your day. And then numerous or widespread. 70 to 100% chance of rain.

Are 10 day forecasts accurate on Reddit?

10-14 day forecasts are typically reasonably accurate depending on the model and local complications . A climate prediction might be okay past a week. Weather prediction, on the other hand, is not accurate at all past 7 days and is unlikely to improve.

What does 10 mean in weather?

10% Chance of Precipitation: Signifies a 10% probability of any measurable precipitation (e.g., rain or snow) occurring within a specific time and area, indicating a low likelihood of precipitation and a higher chance of dry conditions.

10-Day Weather Forecast for Springfield, IL - The Weather Channel

As of 6:51 am CDT

Today

Thunderstorms

82°/64°

88%

ENE 8mph

Thu 25 | Day

82°

88%

ENE 8mph

Rain, heavy at times, and scattered thunderstorms for the afternoon. High 82F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 90%.

Humidity79%
UV Index8 of 11
Sunrise5:52 am
Sunset8:18 pm

Thu 25 | Night

64°

10%

E 7mph

A few clouds. Low 64F. Winds E at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity80%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise11:00 pm
Waning Gibbous
Moonset10:44 am

Fri 26

Partly Cloudy

85°/64°

ESE 8mph

Fri 26 | Day

85°

ESE 8mph

Sunshine and clouds mixed. High near 85F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity66%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise5:52 am
Sunset8:17 pm

Fri 26 | Night

64°

ESE 7mph

Mainly clear skies. Low 64F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity83%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise11:25 pm
Waning Gibbous
Moonset11:57 am

Sat 27

Mostly Cloudy

85°/69°

17%

SE 9mph

Sat 27 | Day

85°

17%

SE 9mph

Partly cloudy skies in the morning will give way to cloudy skies during the afternoon. High near 85F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity67%
UV Index7 of 11
Sunrise5:53 am
Sunset8:16 pm

Sat 27 | Night

69°

51%

SSE 7mph

Cloudy with showers. Low 69F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

Humidity90%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise11:53 pm
Last Quarter
Moonset1:10 pm

Sun 28

Scattered Thunderstorms

84°/70°

50%

S 10mph

Sun 28 | Day

84°

50%

S 10mph

Rain showers in the morning with scattered thunderstorms arriving in the afternoon. High 84F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

Humidity79%
UV Index7 of 11
Sunrise5:54 am
Sunset8:15 pm

Sun 28 | Night

70°

42%

S 9mph

Rain showers early with clearing later at night. Low near 70F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

Humidity92%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise--
Waning Crescent
Moonset2:24 pm

Mon 29

Scattered Thunderstorms

Mon 29 | Day

88°

46%

SW 11mph

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially early in the day. High 88F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

Humidity74%
UV Index7 of 11
Sunrise5:55 am
Sunset8:14 pm

Mon 29 | Night

72°

43%

SW 9mph

Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. Low 72F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

Humidity88%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise12:24 am
Waning Crescent
Moonset3:37 pm

Tue 30

AM Thunderstorms

90°/72°

37%

WSW 9mph

Tue 30 | Day

90°

37%

WSW 9mph

Scattered thunderstorms in the morning. Partly cloudy skies late. High near 90F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

Humidity73%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise5:56 am
Sunset8:13 pm

Tue 30 | Night

72°

24%

SSW 5mph

Mostly clear skies. Low 72F. Winds light and variable.

Humidity88%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise1:01 am
Waning Crescent
Moonset4:49 pm

Wed 31

Partly Cloudy

92°/72°

24%

SW 8mph

Wed 31 | Day

92°

24%

SW 8mph

Partly cloudy skies. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 92F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity69%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise5:57 am
Sunset8:12 pm

Wed 31 | Night

72°

24%

S 6mph

A few clouds from time to time. Low 72F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity82%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise1:47 am
Waning Crescent
Moonset5:53 pm

Thu 01

Isolated Thunderstorms

92°/71°

33%

SW 9mph

Thu 01 | Day

92°

33%

SW 9mph

Isolated thunderstorms in the morning, then skies turning partly cloudy late. High 92F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

Humidity70%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise5:58 am
Sunset8:11 pm

Thu 01 | Night

71°

31%

WSW 6mph

Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Low 71F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

Humidity87%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise2:41 am
Waning Crescent
Moonset6:49 pm

Fri 02

Mostly Sunny

90°/69°

21%

WNW 8mph

Fri 02 | Day

90°

21%

WNW 8mph

Plentiful sunshine. High around 90F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity70%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise5:59 am
Sunset8:10 pm

Fri 02 | Night

69°

24%

NW 6mph

A mostly clear sky. Low 69F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity85%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise3:43 am
Waning Crescent
Moonset7:34 pm

Sat 03

Partly Cloudy

89°/66°

24%

NNW 8mph

Sat 03 | Day

89°

24%

NNW 8mph

Partly cloudy. High 89F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity68%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise6:00 am
Sunset8:09 pm

Sat 03 | Night

66°

24%

NNE 7mph

Mostly clear skies. Low 66F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity86%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise4:49 am
New Moon
Moonset8:11 pm

Sun 04

Mostly Sunny

88°/65°

20%

NNE 8mph

Sun 04 | Day

88°

20%

NNE 8mph

Mostly sunny skies. High 88F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity66%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise6:01 am
Sunset8:08 pm

Sun 04 | Night

65°

24%

NE 6mph

Partly cloudy skies. Low around 65F. Winds light and variable.

Humidity85%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise5:55 am
New Moon
Moonset8:40 pm

Mon 05

Mostly Sunny

89°/66°

14%

NNE 6mph

Mon 05 | Day

89°

14%

NNE 6mph

Sunshine. High 89F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity63%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise6:02 am
Sunset8:06 pm

Mon 05 | Night

66°

18%

SSE 5mph

A mostly clear sky. Low 66F. Winds light and variable.

Humidity82%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise7:00 am
Waxing Crescent
Moonset9:05 pm

Tue 06

Mostly Sunny

89°/67°

11%

SW 7mph

Tue 06 | Day

89°

11%

SW 7mph

Mostly sunny skies. High 89F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity63%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise6:03 am
Sunset8:05 pm

Tue 06 | Night

67°

14%

SW 6mph

Mostly clear skies. Low 67F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity81%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise8:02 am
Waxing Crescent
Moonset9:26 pm

Wed 07

Mostly Sunny

90°/65°

16%

W 7mph

Wed 07 | Day

90°

16%

W 7mph

Mostly sunny skies. High around 90F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity61%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise6:03 am
Sunset8:04 pm

Wed 07 | Night

65°

24%

SSW 6mph

A few clouds. Low around 65F. Winds light and variable.

Humidity81%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise9:02 am
Waxing Crescent
Moonset9:46 pm

Thu 08

Partly Cloudy

88°/63°

12%

W 8mph

Thu 08 | Day

88°

12%

W 8mph

Partly cloudy. High 88F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity61%
UV Index9 of 11
Sunrise6:04 am
Sunset8:03 pm

Thu 08 | Night

63°

24%

SSW 6mph

A few clouds. Low 63F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

Humidity80%
UV Index0 of 11
Moonrise10:01 am
Waxing Crescent
Moonset10:05 pm

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10-Day Weather Forecast for Springfield, IL - The Weather Channel | weather.com (2024)

Today

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Fri 26

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Sat 27

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FAQs

How accurate is a 10 weather forecast? ›